Cardano (ADA) is making waves again! After a rocky February, where the price dipped by 32%, March has brought some sunshine with a 13.5% uptick. While the altcoin is still down 15% for the first quarter, there’s a buzz in the air suggesting that ADA might be gearing up for a significant breakout.
The crypto community is buzzing with excitement as Cardano’s social sentiment hits a four-month high. According to Santiment, an on-chain intelligence platform, the chatter around ADA is overwhelmingly positive. This surge in sentiment comes hot on the heels of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent comments, which recognized Cardano’s potential in smart contracts for government services. This endorsement has fueled optimism, leading to the highest ratio of positive comments since November 2024.
But wait, there’s more! Historically, a rise in social sentiment often aligns with increased trading activity and price hikes. However, the current scenario presents a twist. While social sentiment is soaring, on-chain activity tells a different story. Data from Cardanoscan.io reveals a significant drop in active transactions compared to late 2024. Back then, transaction counts were consistently above 100,000, but now they hover around 26,437.
Despite this dip in activity, Cardano’s strength lies in its robust community. Michael Heinrich, CEO of 0G Labs, emphasizes the importance of community support and ADA’s inclusion in the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. He notes that ADA and XRP have been around long enough to build trust and liquidity, making them unlikely to spring any surprises.
Now, here’s the juicy part: could ADA rally by 20% before March ends? Despite the lackluster on-chain data, ADA has shown resilience to positive news in the past. The altcoin has managed to stay above the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement line, indicating a potential technical uptrend.
Cardano is currently dancing between its parallel channel, with immediate resistance at $0.78. A bullish candle close above this level could trigger a move towards $0.88, marking a potential 20% gain from its current price. However, Cardano’s history of sideways movement suggests that immediate gains might be limited unless it breaks above $0.78.
In conclusion, while Cardano’s path isn’t without hurdles, the combination of positive sentiment and technical indicators suggests that ADA might be on the brink of something big. As always, remember that every investment carries risks, and it’s crucial to conduct thorough research before making any decisions. Stay tuned for more updates as Cardano’s journey unfolds!